V-Lab
Ardagh Metal Packaging S A GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
58.44%
decreased by 9.56%
1 Week
67.14%
decreased by 0.86%
1 Month
69.00%
increased by 1.00%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 07:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 11, 2021 to Aug 7, 2026𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 19.2070 | 15.08*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1849 | 5.22*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1421 | 1.86* |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.0728 | 4.77*** |
Persistence:
0.142
Half-life:
0 days
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