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V-Lab

Arab CO. FOR AST M MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

40.52%

increased by 1.92%

1 Week

42.91%

increased by 4.31%

1 Month

46.73%

increased by 8.13%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Arab CO. FOR AST M MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 18, 2018 to Aug 20, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2862
13.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3027
13.24***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0275
1.05
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.9700
0.71
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7656
0.72
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.603

Half-life:

1 days