V-Lab
Leshan Giantstar Farming & Husbandry Corp Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
49.94%
decreased by 5.52%
1 Week
50.76%
decreased by 4.70%
1 Month
53.26%
decreased by 2.20%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 18, 2017 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.73 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 14.4782 | 4.15*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1201 | 15.85*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9629 | 94.55*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 4.7286 | 5.41*** |
Persistence:
0.963
Half-life:
18 days
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