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V-Lab

Leshan Giantstar Farming & Husbandry Corp Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

49.94%

decreased by 5.52%

1 Week

50.76%

decreased by 4.70%

1 Month

53.26%

decreased by 2.20%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Leshan Giantstar Farming & Husbandry Corp Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2017 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.73 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

14.4782
4.15***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1201
15.85***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9629
94.55***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.7286
5.41***

Persistence:

0.963

Half-life:

18 days