Canara Robeco Asset Management Co Ltd/India AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
30.26%
decreased by 6.09%
1 Week
34.24%
decreased by 2.11%
1 Month
38.75%
increased by 2.40%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:02 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 16, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 1.96) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5856 | 5.75*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2095 | 12.96*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5814 | 28.05*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 1.9568 | 14.11*** |
Persistence:
0.791
Half-life:
3 days
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