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V-Lab

Litigation Capital Management Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

148.64%

decreased by 2.23%

1 Week

148.42%

decreased by 2.45%

1 Month

147.54%

decreased by 3.33%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 02:44 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Litigation Capital Management Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 19, 2018 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 253 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 141% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1084
4.98***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0257
7.26***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9534
344.19***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0363
4.99***

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

253 days