V-Lab
Inner Mongolia Shuangxin Environment-Friendly Material Co Ltd MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
55.42%
decreased by 9.00%
1 Week
61.21%
decreased by 3.21%
1 Month
74.39%
increased by 9.97%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 07:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 30, 2025 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days.
μ
MEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 10-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 2.2348 | 0.98 |
| αARCH | 0.3932 | 1.76* |
| βGARCH | 0.5409 | 6.34*** |
0.934
Persistence10d
Half-lifeμ
MEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.2348 | 0.98 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3932 | 1.76* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5409 | 6.34*** |
Persistence:
0.934
Half-life:
10 days
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