V-Lab
Inner Mongolia Shuangxin Environment-Friendly Material Co Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
19.66%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
19.66%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
19.66%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 07:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 30, 2025 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.
τ
Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.7827 | 3.52*** |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=5
| γ1 | 398.5240 | 6.44*** |
| γ2 | -631.6469 | -6.69*** |
| γ3 | 391.3022 | 5.64*** |
| γ4 | -287.1343 | -4.40*** |
| γ5 | 159.8559 | 1.75* |
0.000
Persistence-
Half-lifeτ
Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.7827 | 3.52*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=5
| γ1 | 398.5240 | 6.44*** |
| γ2 | -631.6469 | -6.69*** |
| γ3 | 391.3022 | 5.64*** |
| γ4 | -287.1343 | -4.40*** |
| γ5 | 159.8559 | 1.75* |
Persistence:
0.000
Half-life:
-
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