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Amrest Holdings Se GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

22.92%

decreased by 1.24%

1 Week

25.07%

increased by 0.91%

1 Month

30.18%

increased by 6.02%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 10:12 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Amrest Holdings Se GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 27, 2005 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.49 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 11-day half-lifev = 3.49 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.6852
1.75*
αARCH0.1010
4.55***
βGARCH0.9395
26.57***
νDF3.4885
2.59***

0.940

Persistence

11d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.6852
1.75*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1010
4.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9395
26.57***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.4885
2.59***

Persistence:

0.940

Half-life:

11 days