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Amrest Holdings Se GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

25.37%

decreased by 1.66%

1 Week

26.74%

decreased by 0.29%

1 Month

30.25%

increased by 3.22%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 07:08 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Amrest Holdings Se GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 27, 2005 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.79 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 12-day half-lifev = 4.79 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run5.5886
2.87***
αscore0.1040
5.46***
βpersistence0.9435
46.88***
νDF4.7891
1.86*

0.943

Persistence

12d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

5.5886
2.87***
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1040
5.46***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9435
46.88***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.7891
1.86*

Persistence:

0.943

Half-life:

12 days