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Amrest Holdings Se GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

28.89%

decreased by 2.64%

1 Week

30.07%

decreased by 1.46%

1 Month

33.06%

increased by 1.53%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 09:08 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Amrest Holdings Se GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 27, 2005 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.48 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 11-day half-lifev = 3.48 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.7145
1.74*
αARCH0.1010
4.51***
βGARCH0.9391
26.30***
νDF3.4848
2.57**

0.939

Persistence

11d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.7145
1.74*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1010
4.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9391
26.30***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.4848
2.57**

Persistence:

0.939

Half-life:

11 days