V-Lab
Amrest Holdings Se GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
31.62%
increased by 4.30%
1 Week
32.41%
increased by 5.09%
1 Month
34.50%
increased by 7.18%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 27, 2005 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.47 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.7426 | 6.88*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1014 | 18.06*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9394 | 104.26*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.4703 | 10.36*** |
Persistence:
0.939
Half-life:
11 days
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