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Amrest Holdings Se GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

31.62%

increased by 4.30%

1 Week

32.41%

increased by 5.09%

1 Month

34.50%

increased by 7.18%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Amrest Holdings Se GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 27, 2005 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.47 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.7426
6.88***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1014
18.06***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9394
104.26***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.4703
10.36***

Persistence:

0.939

Half-life:

11 days