V-Lab
Bg T&A Co GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
47.77%
increased by 0.66%
1 Week
49.96%
increased by 2.85%
1 Month
56.77%
increased by 9.66%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 08:07 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 16, 2007 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 27 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 27 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6660 | 14.83*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1874 | 21.87*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7747 | 92.14*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0251 | 1.53 |
Persistence:
0.975
Half-life:
27 days
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