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Bg T&A Co GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

73.36%

increased by 38.11%

1 Week

73.81%

increased by 38.56%

1 Month

75.31%

increased by 40.06%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 07:56 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bg T&A Co GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 16, 2007 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 28 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 28 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 28-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6595
3.72***
αARCH0.1882
5.51***
βGARCH0.7731
23.08***
γleverage0.0282
0.43

0.975

Persistence

28d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6595
3.72***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1882
5.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7731
23.08***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0282
0.43

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

28 days