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V-Lab

Iris Metals Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

113.80%

decreased by 9.22%

1 Week

114.50%

decreased by 8.52%

1 Month

116.33%

decreased by 6.69%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 06:08 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Iris Metals Ltd AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 23, 2021 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.81) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.6852
5.94***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1404
14.79***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7927
66.90***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.8104
2.92***

Persistence:

0.933

Half-life:

10 days