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V-Lab

Emaar Misr For Development GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, July 26th, 2026

1 Day

43.14%

decreased by 0.55%

1 Week

42.99%

decreased by 0.70%

1 Month

42.47%

decreased by 1.22%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 06:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Emaar Misr For Development GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 6, 2015 to Jul 22, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 31 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 31 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.77 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

6.2252
2.47**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0376
12.41***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9777
121.32***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.7714
7.10***

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days