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V-Lab
V-Lab

APR Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

60.74%

decreased by 1.16%

1 Week

64.40%

increased by 2.50%

1 Month

65.22%

increased by 3.32%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 11:32 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of APR Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 27, 2024 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow66
αARCH0.0004
0.03
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
γleverage0.2787
2.27**
λ₁tau intercept10.0000
0.05
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.4121
0.04

0.140

Persistence

0d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0004
0.03
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2787
2.27**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.05
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.4121
0.04

Persistence:

0.140

Half-life:

0 days