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V-Lab
V-Lab

APR Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

59.75%

increased by 0.31%

1 Week

60.94%

increased by 1.50%

1 Month

61.42%

increased by 1.98%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 08:02 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of APR Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 27, 2024 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 1-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow66
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.3980
0.95
γleverage0.0834
1.87*
λ₁tau intercept10.0000
0.02
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.3354
0.01

0.440

Persistence

1d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3980
0.95
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0834
1.87*
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.02
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.3354
0.01

Persistence:

0.440

Half-life:

1 days