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V-Lab
V-Lab

APR Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

64.95%

decreased by 3.61%

1 Week

65.05%

decreased by 3.51%

1 Month

65.14%

decreased by 3.42%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 11:31 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of APR Co Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 27, 2024 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.96
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.6293
2.21**
γleverage0.1482
0.68

0.703

Persistence

2d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.96
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6293
2.21**
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1482
0.68

Persistence:

0.703

Half-life:

2 days