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V-Lab
V-Lab

APR Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

58.58%

increased by 0.28%

1 Week

60.39%

increased by 2.09%

1 Month

62.26%

increased by 3.96%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 08:02 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of APR Co Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 27, 2024 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst3.9760
0.74
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.7021
2.44**
γleverage0.0923
0.40

0.748

Persistence

2d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.9760
0.74
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7021
2.44**
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0923
0.40

Persistence:

0.748

Half-life:

2 days