V-Lab
APR Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
59.63%
decreased by 0.29%
1 Week
61.36%
increased by 1.44%
1 Month
63.15%
increased by 3.23%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 08:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 27, 2024 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 4.0889 | 2.76*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7034 | 9.19*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0893 | 1.43 |
Persistence:
0.748
Half-life:
2 days
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