V-Lab
APR Co Ltd GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
61.50%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
61.50%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
61.50%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 08:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 27, 2024 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 41 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 41 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2490 | 0.01 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9834 | 0.56 |
Persistence:
0.983
Half-life:
41 days
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