Skip to main content
V-Lab

Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

40.82%

increased by 2.97%

1 Week

41.96%

increased by 4.11%

1 Month

44.23%

increased by 6.38%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 20, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.64 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

8.5311
3.67***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1470
12.54***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8914
31.72***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.6414
11.96***

Persistence:

0.891

Half-life:

6 days