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V-Lab

Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

87.98%

increased by 12.95%

1 Week

80.24%

increased by 5.21%

1 Month

63.05%

decreased by 11.98%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:22 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 20, 2021 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.74 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

7.5857
4.14***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1568
11.76***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8733
29.87***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.7425
10.44***

Persistence:

0.873

Half-life:

5 days