Skip to main content
V-Lab

Arcadyan Technology Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

41.31%

decreased by 1.93%

1 Week

41.47%

decreased by 1.77%

1 Month

42.00%

decreased by 1.24%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 02:24 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Arcadyan Technology Corp GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 30, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 28 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 28 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.22 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

7.8404
3.40***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0722
19.97***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9754
138.07***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.2196
11.00***

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

28 days