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V-Lab

Arcadyan Technology Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

47.64%

decreased by 1.05%

1 Week

47.50%

decreased by 1.19%

1 Month

47.04%

decreased by 1.65%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Arcadyan Technology Corp GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 30, 2007 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 28 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 28 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.20 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

7.9429
3.36***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0729
19.98***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9755
137.25***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.2024
11.18***

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

28 days