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V-Lab

Arcadyan Technology Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

34.98%

decreased by 0.02%

1 Week

37.02%

increased by 2.02%

1 Month

38.57%

increased by 3.57%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Arcadyan Technology Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 30, 2007 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 119% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0889
10.08***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3694
10.55***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1055
11.38***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.7023
0.42
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1931
0.44
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6786
0.92

Persistence:

0.511

Half-life:

1 days