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V-Lab

Arlitech Electronic Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

112.33%

decreased by 22.71%

1 Week

112.55%

decreased by 22.49%

1 Month

113.34%

decreased by 21.70%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 03:07 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Arlitech Electronic Corp GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 26, 2014 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 52 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 52 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.17 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

57.5278
3.98***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1411
98.58***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9868
305.05***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.1679
375.26***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

52 days