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V-Lab

Ubiquoss Holdings Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

83.06%

decreased by 0.90%

1 Week

82.61%

decreased by 1.35%

1 Month

80.83%

decreased by 3.13%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 03:57 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

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graph of Ubiquoss Holdings Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 11, 2017 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, volatility shocks have a half-life of 91 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.99 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

7.2727
5.28***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0806
62.32***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9924
757.59***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.9858
58.49***

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

91 days