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V-Lab

Ubiquoss Holdings Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

52.89%

decreased by 1.57%

1 Week

51.63%

decreased by 2.83%

1 Month

47.72%

decreased by 6.74%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 03:57 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Ubiquoss Holdings Inc S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 11, 2017 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 14 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6120
5.71***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0977
5.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8534
32.34***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ11.1417
3.81***
γ2-2.3269
-4.61***
γ31.5346
3.51***
γ4-0.4243
-1.06
γ50.5415
1.39
γ6-0.7548
-2.38**

Persistence:

0.951

Half-life:

14 days