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V-Lab

Ubiquoss Holdings Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

61.77%

decreased by 1.03%

1 Week

61.90%

decreased by 0.90%

1 Month

62.40%

decreased by 0.40%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 03:56 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Ubiquoss Holdings Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 11, 2017 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, volatility shocks have a half-life of 931 trading days (~3.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 54% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0428
6.08***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0732
14.35***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9063
270.94***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0395
3.51***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

931 days