V-Lab
Ubiquoss Holdings Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
61.77%
decreased by 1.03%
1 Week
61.90%
decreased by 0.90%
1 Month
62.40%
decreased by 0.40%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 03:56 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 11, 2017 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, volatility shocks have a half-life of 931 trading days (~3.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 54% more than positive returns
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0428 | 6.08*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0732 | 14.35*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9063 | 270.94*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0395 | 3.51*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
931 days
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