V-Lab
Ubiquoss Holdings Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
56.61%
decreased by 0.41%
1 Week
56.66%
decreased by 0.36%
1 Month
57.62%
increased by 0.60%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 03:58 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 11, 2017 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 143% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0546 | 14.92*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8549 | 139.53*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0781 | 10.04*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.6264 | 1.03 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.9234 | 1.10 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.949
Half-life:
13 days
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