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V-Lab

XXF Group Holdings Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

94.00%

increased by 16.43%

1 Week

95.28%

increased by 17.71%

1 Month

98.74%

increased by 21.17%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 01:00 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of XXF Group Holdings Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 9, 2023 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.03 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

43.7343
2.76***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1355
11.48***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9410
45.99***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.0274
8.14***

Persistence:

0.941

Half-life:

11 days