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V-Lab

XXF Group Holdings Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

83.16%

increased by 3.34%

1 Week

83.85%

increased by 4.03%

1 Month

85.99%

increased by 6.17%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 01:00 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of XXF Group Holdings Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 9, 2023 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1439
17.63***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8283
58.68***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0218
-1.80*
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

33.6450

Persistence:

0.961

Half-life:

18 days