El Al Israel Airlines Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
57.17%
decreased by 0.01%
1 Week
57.04%
decreased by 0.14%
1 Month
56.57%
decreased by 0.61%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 07:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 17, 2003 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 40 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 40 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.68 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 11.2367 | 2.91*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0683 | 33.54*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9828 | 156.94*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.6755 | 25.78*** |
Persistence:
0.983
Half-life:
40 days
Other El Al Israel Airlines Ltd Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on International Equities