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V-Lab

El Al Israel Airlines Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, July 26th, 2026

1 Day

33.50%

decreased by 0.36%

1 Week

35.14%

increased by 1.28%

1 Month

38.54%

increased by 4.68%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:06 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of El Al Israel Airlines Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 17, 2003 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 50% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6753
15.26***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0936
13.79***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7867
86.77***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0465
3.14***

Persistence:

0.904

Half-life:

7 days