V-Lab
El Al Israel Airlines Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Sunday, July 26th, 2026
1 Day
33.50%
decreased by 0.36%
1 Week
35.14%
increased by 1.28%
1 Month
38.54%
increased by 4.68%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:06 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 17, 2003 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 50% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6753 | 15.26*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0936 | 13.79*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7867 | 86.77*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0465 | 3.14*** |
Persistence:
0.904
Half-life:
7 days
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