V-Lab
El Al Israel Airlines Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Sunday, July 26th, 2026
1 Day
38.27%
decreased by 0.15%
1 Week
40.39%
increased by 1.97%
1 Month
42.37%
increased by 3.95%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:07 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 17, 2003 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 63% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 76 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0916 | 16.27*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6164 | 25.14*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0574 | 5.73*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.3945 | 0.56 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0899 | 0.63 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8492 | 3.41*** |
Persistence:
0.737
Half-life:
2 days
Other El Al Israel Airlines Ltd Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on International Equities