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V-Lab

El Al Israel Airlines Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, July 26th, 2026

1 Day

38.27%

decreased by 0.15%

1 Week

40.39%

increased by 1.97%

1 Month

42.37%

increased by 3.95%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:07 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of El Al Israel Airlines Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 17, 2003 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 63% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0916
16.27***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6164
25.14***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0574
5.73***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.3945
0.56
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0899
0.63
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8492
3.41***

Persistence:

0.737

Half-life:

2 days