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V-Lab

Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co., Ltd. GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

55.43%

increased by 5.76%

1 Week

55.59%

increased by 5.92%

1 Month

56.00%

increased by 6.33%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co., Ltd. GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 15, 2017 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.51 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

12.6992
7.21***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1021
11.82***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9215
75.61***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.5115
4.16***

Persistence:

0.922

Half-life:

8 days