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V-Lab

Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co., Ltd. Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

43.13%

decreased by 1.77%

1 Week

44.66%

decreased by 0.24%

1 Month

47.63%

increased by 2.73%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 11:33 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co., Ltd. S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 15, 2017 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1022
12.37***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1061
5.06***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7808
16.26***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0032
1.48

Persistence:

0.887

Half-life:

6 days