V-Lab
Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co., Ltd. Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
43.13%
decreased by 1.77%
1 Week
44.66%
decreased by 0.24%
1 Month
47.63%
increased by 2.73%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 11:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 15, 2017 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1022 | 12.37*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1061 | 5.06*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7808 | 16.26*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0032 | 1.48 |
Persistence:
0.887
Half-life:
6 days
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