V-Lab
Kyoritsu Maintenance Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
39.46%
increased by 4.32%
1 Week
35.29%
increased by 0.15%
1 Month
32.30%
decreased by 2.84%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:02 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 20, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.06 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.8615 | 18.08*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1508 | 5.53*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6053 | 25.54*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 6.0595 | 1.67* |
Persistence:
0.605
Half-life:
1 days
Other Kyoritsu Maintenance Co Ltd Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on International Equities