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V-Lab

Kyoritsu Maintenance Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

39.46%

increased by 4.32%

1 Week

35.29%

increased by 0.15%

1 Month

32.30%

decreased by 2.84%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:02 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Kyoritsu Maintenance Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.06 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.8615
18.08***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1508
5.53***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6053
25.54***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.0595
1.67*

Persistence:

0.605

Half-life:

1 days