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V-Lab

Kyoritsu Maintenance Co Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

28.13%

decreased by 4.56%

1 Week

30.34%

decreased by 2.35%

1 Month

31.03%

decreased by 1.66%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 06:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Kyoritsu Maintenance Co Ltd AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.34) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.5465
21.36***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1969
13.79***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.1397
5.48***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.3441
4.12***

Persistence:

0.337

Half-life:

1 days