V-Lab
Kyoritsu Maintenance Co Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
28.13%
decreased by 4.56%
1 Week
30.34%
decreased by 2.35%
1 Month
31.03%
decreased by 1.66%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 06:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 20, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.34) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.5465 | 21.36*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1969 | 13.79*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1397 | 5.48*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.3441 | 4.12*** |
Persistence:
0.337
Half-life:
1 days
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