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V-Lab

Kyoritsu Maintenance Co Ltd APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

27.70%

decreased by 1.19%

1 Week

29.96%

increased by 1.07%

1 Month

30.99%

increased by 2.10%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 07:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Kyoritsu Maintenance Co Ltd APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 2021 to Aug 7, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 42% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.00 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0000
13.57***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1872
13.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3425
10.44***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1726
4.47***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.9961
9.28***

Persistence:

0.492

Half-life:

1 days