V-Lab
Kyoritsu Maintenance Co Ltd APARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
27.70%
decreased by 1.19%
1 Week
29.96%
increased by 1.07%
1 Month
30.99%
increased by 2.10%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 07:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 20, 2021 to Aug 7, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 42% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.00 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
σ
APARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0000 | 13.57*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1872 | 13.01*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3425 | 10.44*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1726 | 4.47*** |
δ power Transformation power | 0.9961 | 9.28*** |
Persistence:
0.492
Half-life:
1 days
Other Kyoritsu Maintenance Co Ltd Analyses
Other APARCH Analyses on International Equities