V-Lab
Kyoritsu Maintenance Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
29.53%
decreased by 0.53%
1 Week
30.23%
increased by 0.17%
1 Month
30.67%
increased by 0.61%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 20, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 92% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 111 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0877 | 7.84*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4796 | 8.94*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0802 | 4.05*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3.7708 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.607
Half-life:
1 days
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