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V-Lab

Kyoritsu Maintenance Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

33.20%

increased by 1.77%

1 Week

32.10%

increased by 0.67%

1 Month

31.31%

decreased by 0.12%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:02 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Kyoritsu Maintenance Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 83% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

111
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0884
8.26***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5033
9.53***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0737
3.83***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

3.8183
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.629

Half-life:

1 days