V-Lab
Kyoritsu Maintenance Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
28.35%
decreased by 1.09%
1 Week
29.74%
increased by 0.30%
1 Month
30.64%
increased by 1.20%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 07:56 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 20, 2021 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 87% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 111 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0882 | 8.07*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4923 | 9.26*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0770 | 3.97*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3.8015 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.619
Half-life:
1 days
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