V-Lab
Kyoritsu Maintenance Co Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
36.50%
decreased by 0.85%
1 Week
36.75%
decreased by 0.60%
1 Month
37.07%
decreased by 0.28%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 06:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 20, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. The volatility power δ = 1.17 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5819 | 3.93*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1008 | 7.41*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7035 | 15.14*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1221 | -1.54 |
δ power Transformation power | 1.1699 | 8.67*** |
Persistence:
0.785
Half-life:
3 days
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