Xexymix Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
67.03%
decreased by 4.83%
1 Week
66.07%
decreased by 5.79%
1 Month
63.05%
decreased by 8.81%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 08:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 13, 2020 to Jul 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.07 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
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GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 11.6116 | 3.10*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0807 | 13.00*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9574 | 69.38*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.0676 | 7.59*** |
Persistence:
0.957
Half-life:
16 days
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