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Havila Kystruten As GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

61.52%

decreased by 4.30%

1 Week

63.60%

decreased by 2.22%

1 Month

66.87%

increased by 1.05%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:25 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

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graph of Havila Kystruten As GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 3, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.16 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

18.8972
5.27***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2078
10.30***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8446
30.23***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.1630
8.77***

Persistence:

0.845

Half-life:

4 days