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V-Lab

Havila Kystruten As GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

56.24%

decreased by 4.54%

1 Week

57.72%

decreased by 3.06%

1 Month

62.03%

increased by 1.25%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 08:17 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Havila Kystruten As GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 3, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8852
5.84***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1261
6.53***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7958
60.29***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0711
1.69*

Persistence:

0.957

Half-life:

16 days