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V-Lab

Havila Kystruten As GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

48.84%

decreased by 1.85%

1 Week

51.11%

increased by 0.42%

1 Month

57.45%

increased by 6.76%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:24 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Havila Kystruten As GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 3, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8788
5.84***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1257
6.54***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7966
60.51***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0691
1.66*

Persistence:

0.957

Half-life:

16 days