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V-Lab

Havila Kystruten As GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 23rd, 2026

1 Day

41.59%

decreased by 1.95%

1 Week

44.88%

increased by 1.34%

1 Month

53.71%

increased by 10.17%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 07:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Havila Kystruten As GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 3, 2021 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8756
5.78***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1270
6.56***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7961
60.41***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0702
1.67*

Persistence:

0.958

Half-life:

16 days