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V-Lab

Havila Kystruten As GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

56.72%

decreased by 4.50%

1 Week

58.21%

decreased by 3.01%

1 Month

62.64%

increased by 1.42%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 08:17 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Havila Kystruten As GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 3, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8345
7.26***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1597
14.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8025
64.32***

Persistence:

0.962

Half-life:

18 days