V-Lab
Havila Kystruten As GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
56.72%
decreased by 4.50%
1 Week
58.21%
decreased by 3.01%
1 Month
62.64%
increased by 1.42%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 08:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 3, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8345 | 7.26*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1597 | 14.84*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8025 | 64.32*** |
Persistence:
0.962
Half-life:
18 days
Other Havila Kystruten As Analyses
Other GARCH Analyses on International Equities