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V-Lab

Havila Kystruten As Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

50.00%

decreased by 4.61%

1 Week

53.61%

decreased by 1.00%

1 Month

60.19%

increased by 5.58%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 08:17 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Havila Kystruten As AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 3, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.9909
15.84***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3095
17.41***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5746
43.32***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0012
-0.04

Persistence:

0.883

Half-life:

6 days