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V-Lab

Havila Kystruten As MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

49.99%

decreased by 4.62%

1 Week

53.61%

decreased by 1.00%

1 Month

60.18%

increased by 5.57%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 08:17 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Havila Kystruten As MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 3, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.9913
7.61***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3089
13.80***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5746
42.50***

Persistence:

0.883

Half-life:

6 days