V-Lab
Havila Kystruten As MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
49.99%
decreased by 4.62%
1 Week
53.61%
decreased by 1.00%
1 Month
60.18%
increased by 5.57%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 08:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 3, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.9913 | 7.61*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3089 | 13.80*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5746 | 42.50*** |
Persistence:
0.883
Half-life:
6 days
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