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V-Lab

Havila Kystruten As Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

45.54%

decreased by 6.71%

1 Week

48.84%

decreased by 3.41%

1 Month

55.02%

increased by 2.77%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Havila Kystruten As APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 3, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. The volatility power δ = 1.61 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0000
4.93***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2722
28.74***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6423
45.02***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0157
-1.09
δ

power

Transformation power

1.6081
13.08***

Persistence:

0.883

Half-life:

6 days