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V-Lab

Isewan Terminal Service Co GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

197.88%

decreased by 16.36%

1 Week

198.36%

decreased by 15.88%

1 Month

200.16%

decreased by 14.08%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 01:17 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Isewan Terminal Service Co GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 1, 1993 to Jul 17, 2026
Extended Optimization

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.01 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

189.1520
3.66***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0642
71.91***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9886
316.44***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0085
3,977.27***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

60 days