Isewan Terminal Service Co GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
197.88%
decreased by 16.36%
1 Week
198.36%
decreased by 15.88%
1 Month
200.16%
decreased by 14.08%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 01:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 1, 1993 to Jul 17, 2026Extended Optimization
Model Insight
The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.01 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 189.1520 | 3.66*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0642 | 71.91*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9886 | 316.44*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.0085 | 3,977.27*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
60 days
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