V-Lab
Hongxing Coldchain Hunan Co Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
21.04%
decreased by 3.54%
1 Week
21.84%
decreased by 2.74%
1 Month
24.03%
decreased by 0.55%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 08:15 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 13, 2026 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 121% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 121% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1578 | 7.40*** |
| αARCH | 0.2961 | 8.08*** |
| βGARCH | 0.4750 | 18.20*** |
| γleverage | 0.3597 | 3.03*** |
0.951
Persistence14d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1578 | 7.40*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2961 | 8.08*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4750 | 18.20*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.3597 | 3.03*** |
Persistence:
0.951
Half-life:
14 days
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