Hongxing Coldchain Hunan Co Ltd MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
17.62%
decreased by 3.81%
1 Week
19.26%
decreased by 2.17%
1 Month
23.41%
increased by 1.98%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 13, 2026 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1843 | 4.87*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4778 | 7.82*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4743 | 18.79*** |
Persistence:
0.952
Half-life:
14 days
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