V-Lab
Hongxing Coldchain Hunan Co Ltd APARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026
1 Day
46.78%
1 Week
45.78%
1 Month
44.80%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 06:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 13, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. The volatility power δ = 1.26 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
APARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.0000 | 0.45 |
| αARCH | 0.2573 | 2.32** |
| βGARCH | 0.5109 | 2.11** |
| γleverage | 0.3191 | 0.91 |
| δpower | 1.2574 | 0.76 |
0.725
Persistence2d
Half-lifeAPARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0000 | 0.45 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2573 | 2.32** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5109 | 2.11** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.3191 | 0.91 |
δ power Transformation power | 1.2574 | 0.76 |
Persistence:
0.725
Half-life:
2 days
Other Hongxing Coldchain Hunan Co Ltd Analyses
Other APARCH Analyses on International Equities