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Hongxing Coldchain Hunan Co Ltd APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

46.78%

decreased by 1.03%

1 Week

45.78%

decreased by 2.03%

1 Month

44.80%

decreased by 3.01%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 06:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Hongxing Coldchain Hunan Co Ltd APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 13, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. The volatility power δ = 1.26 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-lifeδ = 1.26 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0000
0.45
αARCH0.2573
2.32**
βGARCH0.5109
2.11**
γleverage0.3191
0.91
δpower1.2574
0.76

0.725

Persistence

2d

Half-life
σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0000
0.45
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2573
2.32**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5109
2.11**
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.3191
0.91
δ

power

Transformation power

1.2574
0.76

Persistence:

0.725

Half-life:

2 days