Guangdong Tianyu Semiconductor Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026
1 Day
60.28%
decreased by 7.19%
1 Week
62.78%
decreased by 4.69%
1 Month
70.88%
increased by 3.41%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 10:02 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 5, 2025 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 35 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 35 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.48 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 35-day half-lifev = 4.48 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωlong-run | 46.5180 | 1.24 |
| αscore | 0.1443 | 3.76*** |
| βpersistence | 0.9804 | 53.19*** |
| νDF | 4.4823 | 1.62 |
0.980
Persistence35d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω long-run Long-run variance given a price move | 46.5180 | 1.24 |
α score Weight on the scaled score | 0.1443 | 3.76*** |
β persistence Volatility persistence | 0.9804 | 53.19*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 4.4823 | 1.62 |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
35 days
Other Guangdong Tianyu Semiconductor Co Ltd Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on International Equities