Skip to main content
V-Lab

Guangdong Tianyu Semiconductor Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

49.62%

increased by 0.16%

1 Week

53.73%

increased by 4.27%

1 Month

66.10%

increased by 16.64%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Guangdong Tianyu Semiconductor Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 5, 2025 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 33 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 33 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.78 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

51.1553
4.99***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1447
15.22***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9792
193.48***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.7776
10.13***

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

33 days