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V-Lab

Guangdong Tianyu Semiconductor Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

46.10%

decreased by 3.48%

1 Week

74,549,569.01%

increased by 74,549,519.43%

1 Month

6,204,876,147,031,462,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%

increased by 6,204,876,147,031,462,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 10:02 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Guangdong Tianyu Semiconductor Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 5, 2025 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow26
αARCH0.1558
123.78***
βGARCH0.0000
0.05
γleverage-0.1558
-115.61***
λ₁tau intercept0.0000
0.00
λ₂forecast adj.0.7932
173.20***
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.22

0.078

Persistence

0d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1558
123.78***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.05
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1558
-115.61***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7932
173.20***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.22

Persistence:

0.078

Half-life:

0 days