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V-Lab
V-Lab

Guangdong Tianyu Semiconductor Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

71.79%

decreased by 7.82%

1 Week

70.42%

decreased by 9.19%

1 Month

80.40%

increased by 0.79%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 07:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Guangdong Tianyu Semiconductor Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 5, 2025 to Sep 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow21
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
γleverage0.1291
4.29***
λ₁tau intercept2.7009
2.99***
λ₂forecast adj.0.2549
10.30***
λ₃tau persistence0.7451
16.30***

0.065

Persistence

0d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1291
4.29***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.7009
2.99***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2549
10.30***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7451
16.30***

Persistence:

0.065

Half-life:

0 days