Guangdong Tianyu Semiconductor Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026
1 Day
46.10%
1 Week
74,549,569.01%
1 Month
6,204,876,147,031,462,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 10:02 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 5, 2025 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 26 | |
| αARCH | 0.1558 | 123.78*** |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.05 |
| γleverage | -0.1558 | -115.61*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.7932 | 173.20*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.0000 | 0.22 |
0.078
Persistence0d
Half-lifeMF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1558 | 123.78*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.05 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1558 | -115.61*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.7932 | 173.20*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.22 |
Persistence:
0.078
Half-life:
0 days
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