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V-Lab

Guangdong Tianyu Semiconductor Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

22.68%

increased by 12.53%

1 Week

21.14%

increased by 10.99%

1 Month

16.68%

increased by 6.53%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Guangdong Tianyu Semiconductor Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 5, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4286
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0972
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.4279
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0107
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0010
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0016

Persistence:

0.312

Half-life:

1 days