Skip to main content
V-Lab

Airan Limited MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

30.76%

increased by 0.54%

1 Week

37.10%

increased by 6.88%

1 Month

43.78%

increased by 13.56%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Airan Limited MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 16, 2018 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2622
14.45***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3781
18.05***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0384
-1.25
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

4.6979
0.80
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.5256
0.99
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.621

Half-life:

1 days