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V-Lab

Airan Limited MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

32.40%

decreased by 0.29%

1 Week

39.54%

increased by 6.85%

1 Month

45.42%

increased by 12.73%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Airan Limited MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 16, 2018 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2630
14.52***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3737
17.34***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0397
-1.32
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

5.3056
0.65
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.4651
0.74
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.617

Half-life:

1 days