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V-Lab

FDM Group (Holdings) plc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

59.13%

decreased by 5.48%

1 Week

56.92%

decreased by 7.69%

1 Month

52.88%

decreased by 11.73%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of FDM Group (Holdings) plc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 19, 2014 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

91
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1037
10.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7470
42.72***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0164
1.04
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0025
0.12
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0051
1.64
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9949
164.83***

Persistence:

0.859

Half-life:

5 days