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V-Lab

Deutsche Lufthansa AG GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 18th, 2026

1 Day

27.16%

decreased by 0.37%

1 Week

27.36%

decreased by 0.17%

1 Month

28.10%

increased by 0.57%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 07:09 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Lufthansa AG GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 14, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 69 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 69 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.77 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 69-day half-lifev = 5.77 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.1110
1.22
αARCH0.0489
6.55***
βGARCH0.9900
108.89***
νDF5.7719
1.43

0.990

Persistence

69d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.1110
1.22
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0489
6.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9900
108.89***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.7719
1.43

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

69 days