V-Lab
Deutsche Lufthansa AG GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 18th, 2026
1 Day
27.16%
decreased by 0.37%
1 Week
27.36%
decreased by 0.17%
1 Month
28.10%
increased by 0.57%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 07:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 14, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 69 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 69 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.77 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 69-day half-lifev = 5.77 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.1110 | 1.22 |
| αARCH | 0.0489 | 6.55*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9900 | 108.89*** |
| νDF | 5.7719 | 1.43 |
0.990
Persistence69d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.1110 | 1.22 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0489 | 6.55*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9900 | 108.89*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 5.7719 | 1.43 |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
69 days
Other Deutsche Lufthansa AG Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on International Equities